The Obama Speech and What You Get for $425 Million
It's another day on airplanes for me (I'm on a plane now flying from San Fran to NYC as I write this, I'll upload when I land), and I only had time this morning to read through about half the items in my RSS Reader. Here's some of the stuff I found interesting. Tomorrow I'll have some thoughts on the McCain candidacy and the youth vote, and on Friday I'm hoping to complete a review of the book UnChristian: What a New Generation Thinks of Christianity . . . And Why It Matters.
I've finally had a chance to read Obama's speech on race in America. Like most people, I was blown away. I'm still digesting but it really was like nothing we've heard on race in our political discourse at least during my life. In all the post-delivery reporting I've read, I'm finding Glen Greenwald seems to have one of the more interesting takes on whether or not Obama will succeed in his goal of elevating the level of the conversation on race in America, and Press Think offers a play by play on how the media - particularly CNN and Wolf Blitzer - immediately failed to rise to the occasion.
Another news item I missed at Take Back America was the announcement that a number of progressive leaning institutions (and non-partisan groups that most do progressive stuff) will be dumping up to $425 million into the 2008 election cycle. This will be similar to what America Coming Together did in 2004, but hopefully will have learned some new tricks/lessons along the way. Included in those efforts and budget will be Rock the Vote. Ben Smith at the Politico provides an estimated break down on that money:
AFL-CIO: $53.4 million
AFL-CIO affiliates: $200 million
Change to Win affiliates: $100 million-plus
MoveOn: $30 million
Acorn: $35 million
Rock the Vote: $5 million-plus
La Raza: $4 million-$6 million
Two thoughts. First, that is a shitload of money from the unions. I wonder what sort of outreach that the unions will do to young voters and young members. Second, of the remaining $75 million another good chunk will likely find its way to youth vote registration and GOTV. Rock the Vote is the only youth-only org on the list, but MoveOn, Acorn, and La Raza are all likely to spend resources on reaching young voters as well. MoveOn did some youth organizing in 2004, Acorn has been known to do youth work in communities of color,and I'm sure La Raza will likewise look to reach young Latinos, who are a fast growing (and increasingly Democratic) constituency.
There are no reports yet on how this money will be spent. Knowing what we know about reaching young people - and in organizing generally - what I'm most interested in finding out is how much of this money will go to media vs. field work. It's too early to start arm-chair quarterbacking these institutions, but it's something to watch.
Having trouble understanding wtf is up with the credit crunch, the subprime mortgage fiasco, and the recent bank failures? The New York Times tries to boil it all down for you and does a decent job of it. It's times like these when I wish I took less Lit classes in college and added on a course or two in economics.
Finally, I loved Tim Fernholz's take-down of the Ron Paul "movement" over at Campus Progress. Fernholz is talking generally about all Ron Paul supporters, but one thing I would add to his piece is the total evaporation of Paul's youth support. Some of you may remember that Ron Paul was touted as the Republican "youth candidate," and his savvy online supporters helped him come out on top in the final MTV/MySpace candidate dialogue, but that support never materialized at the polls, where he failed to capture the youth vote (18 - 29) in a single contest, often finishing 10 points or more behind John McCain or Mike Huckabee.
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Featured Video
2008 Youth Vote in Context
The following charts and graphs are meant to contextualize the unique role that young voters played in the 2008 election, and their increasingly important role in a winning electoral coalition:
2008 Youth Electoral Map

2004 Youth Electoral Map

Youth Vote Partisan Advantage: 2000 - 2008

Youth Vote Historical Support: 1976 - 2008

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