Updated Exit Poll Data Shows Youth Turnout Higher Than Previous Prediction

CIRCLE has recalculated its estimation of youth turnout following reweighted exit poll data from Edison Research.

The original post-election estimation of youth turnout was 20-21% of registered 18-29 voters for a vote share of 11% of the electorate. The new reweighted estimation is 22.8% of young voters with a 12% vote share. Youth turnout in 2010 is in the same range as turnout from the 2006 midterm elections.

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Youth Turnout in 2010

Thank you for sharing this information, Kevin. I found Circle's report on demographics of young voters very interesting. Specifically, the greater amount of diversity of young voters compared to the population as a whole. Additionally, the 11-12% of total voter share is a continued reason for the parties, organizing bodies, and individual political campaigns to increase their efforts approaching young voters. This is a good indication that increasing number of possible millennial voters are likely to impact the 2012 and 2014 election cycles dramatically.