Karl Rove Will Target the Youth Vote
In case you missed it, there have been some oversight hearings lately about improper partisan political activities on the part of our government. You can watch a video of Henry Waxman and other committee members grilling a clueless government official about these allegations here.
A happy outcome of these hearings is that the public now has access to some Republican strategy documents (pdf) related to the 2006 and 2008 elections, and it looks like Young Voters are going to be a priority for the GOP in 2008. Here's a slide from the presentation discussed in yesterday's committee hearing:
This doesn't surprise me at all. We already know that young voters were a decisive part of many Democratic victories in 2006. As was the Latino vote (which is also a young vote).
The presentation also noted that in 2006:
- 22 races were decided by 2 points or less
- 18 races were decided by fewer than 5,000 votes
- 6 races were won by fewer than 1,000 votes
Increased young voter turnout probably makes the difference in lot of those races. It's what makes the work of groups like the League of Young Voters - who reach out to youth that are normally passed over by traditional GOTV - all the more important, and makes me wonder even further about the strategic thinking behind recent funding decisions by the Democracy Alliance.
We know the GOP will be targeting us and our peers in 2008 (or at least looking to suppress our turnout). This is not the time for Democrats to take our vote for granted.
2008 Youth Vote in Context
The following charts and graphs are meant to contextualize the unique role that young voters played in the 2008 election, and their increasingly important role in a winning electoral coalition:
2008 Youth Electoral Map

2004 Youth Electoral Map

Youth Vote Partisan Advantage: 2000 - 2008

Youth Vote Historical Support: 1976 - 2008

Breaking News
Political Wire:
An Affair with KennedyThe a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/09/books/once-upon-a-secret-mimi-alford-on-her-affair-with-kennedy.html?ref=books"New York Times/a reviews Mimi Alford's account of her affair with ...Political Wire:
Huckabee Begins Radio ShowMike Huckabee will be hosting a radio show weekdays from noon to 3 p.m. for Cumulus Media Networks starting April 2, the a ...Political Wire:
Banks Near Deal to Settle Foreclosure Probe"Government officials are on the verge of an agreement worth as much as $25 billion with five major banks, capping a yearlong push to settle federal and state probes of alleged foreclosure abuses by ...Think Progress:
CBO: Boehner’s Mass Transit Funding Plan Would Cover Just 5 Percent of Transit CostsCongress is currently working to re-authorize a big transportation funding bill, but Republicans have imperiled the process by proposing to stop using revenue from the fuel tax to pay for mass ...Think Progress:
Bombshell Study: High Methane Emissions Measured Over Gas Field “May Offset Climate Benefits of Natural Gas”Air sampling by NOAA over Colorado Finds 4% Methane Leakage, More Than Double Industry Claims Natural-gas operations could release far more methane into the atmosphere than previously thought. ...
Featured Video
Recent Blog Posts
-
Herman Cain gave his own response to the State of the Union at the National Press Club where he talked about how grateful he is with the endorsement from Stephen Colbert because he wants to keep the ...by: Sarah Burris | 0 comments
-
Just a few highlights of things that reference the Millennial Generation. Read the whole thing here "most daunting challenge can be the cost of college. At a time when Americans owe more in tuition ...by: Sarah Burris | 0 comments
-
A great new video that the Illinois Caucus on Adolescent Health youth activists created about how young people need accurate access to information about sex and health to protect ...by: Sarah Burris | 0 comments
-
On last night's Colbert Report columnist David Frum called for an economically inclusive, environmentally responsible and socially modern Republican party. He called out Tea Party activists saying ...by: Sarah Burris | 0 comments
-
If I knew how to navigate pulling FM for the day in solidarity I would... but instead all I can do is post a blog. SOPA's Scary Facts Stand up to support the internet, pledge your support, contact ...by: Sarah Burris | 0 comments
Blogroll
- Ablogistan
- Apophenia
- Bad Subjects
- Burnt Orange Report
- Campus Progress
- Campus Vote
- College Democrats
- Culture Blog
- The Daily Background
- The Daily Taylor
- Ezra Klein
- Everyday Citizen
- For Which It Stands
- Generation Next
- Got Democracy
- It’s Getting Hot in Here
- Kevin Bondelli
- Kid Oakland
- Kossacks Under 35
- Left in the West
- Liberal College Kid
- The Low Post
- Matt Ortega
- Michigan Liberal
- Michigan Youth Political Alliance
- Millennials Changing America
- Open Left
- Penn Progress
- Planting Liberally
- Policy Farm Team
- Political Teen Tidbits
- Prose Before Hos
- Pullman Progressive
- Pushback Network
- The Raw Story
- Rethinking Youth
- Rock the Vote
- Scoop 44
- Tapped
- Think Youth
- Young Democrats
- Young MO Politico
- Young People For
- Young Philly Politics
- Young-Politics
- Youth and Politics
- YouthinkLeft
- WireTap
- Wonkette
If you have a blog written by or for young progressives, and you would like to be listed, contact Mike.
Young Progressives
- 21st Century Dems
- Black Youth Vote
- The Bus Federation
- Campus Climate Challenge
- Campus Progress
- Campus Wellstone
- Center for Progressive Leadership
- College Democrats
- DNC Youth Council
- DMI Scholars
- Forward Montana
- Future 5000
- Generation Change
- Generational Alliance
- The League
- Kossacks Under 35
- Lose the Label
- Minnesota Youth Caucus
- New Era Colorado
- Oregon Bus Project
- Progressive U
- Roosevelt Institution
- Run For Office
- Students for a New American Politics
- Swing Semester
- USSA
- Washington Bus
- Young Democrats of America
- Young Elected Officials Network
- Young People For
- Young Voter PAC
Cultural Capitalizers
- All Ages Movement Project
- Billionaires for Bush
- Drinking Liberally
- Free Culture
- Head Count
- Hip Hop Summit Action Network
- Ironweed Films
- Justice Through Music
- Laughing Liberally
- Lokahi Outreach
- National Hip Hop Political Convention
- ONE Campaign
- Progressive Book Club
- Rock the Vote
- Screening Liberally
- Vera Project
- Youth Movement Records





















MC Rove
Does this explain MC Rove?
Strategery
If this was their strategy, I would rest easy. More likely we’ll see wedge issue politics, voter suppression, and lots of 72-hour action from evangelicals and college Republicans.
But seriously
Youth turnout definitely makes a difference in those races. When you’re talking about 22-point spread in a 10% demographic, you’re talking about a 2% shift (which is really a 4% margin) in the final outcome. Rove knows this, and also knows that there’s no way the GOP machine can squeeze more from their base, if they can even hold that coalition together in the first place.
maybe they think
that if they fund College Republicans better they’ll get more young voters?
I dunno what else they could be planning. Unless they’re going to reverse Repug stances on every single issue in existence, they’re wasting their time/money.
To quote herr decider, bring it on.
[[http://www.losethelabel.org/user/3|-6.00, -4.15]]
College Repub Funding
The College Republicans are extremely well funded. They are one of the top 10 527 committees in the country. They have more money than the Young Democrats and College Democrats combined. And their money comes not only from large conservative foundations and corporations, but almost half of it comes from small donors.
yeah but maybe he's gonna give them MORE
muahaha. muahahahaha! MUAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHA!!!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RlZSt…
[[http://www.losethelabel.org/user/3|-6.00, -4.15]]