Where Might Youth Turnout Have the Biggest Impact?

Over at WireTap, FM friend Karlo Marcelo has an excellent article posted handicapping the youth vote in the battleground states, and pointing out where youth turnout might have the biggest impact on Tuesday. Karlo does the number crunching on all this stuff for CIRCLE, so I tend to trust his analysis. Here's a quick look at the data:

In his piece, Karlo singles out Florida, Ohio and New Mexico as states where youth might make the biggest difference due to a combination of factors: high youth share of the electorate, large college populations, and/or massive Democratic advantage in the youth electorate in previous elections. I don't want to completely steal Karlo's post, so for a better understanding, go read his full analysis.