Change vs. Inertia at the DNC and State Parties
For all you history buffs, or anyone looking to create major institutional changes within the DNC or the Democratic State Parties, I can't recommend highly enough Daniel J. Galvin's 20-odd page history of the DNC from the 1980s 1990s through the final days of Howard Dean's chairmanship: Changing Course: Reversing the Organizational Trajectory of the Democratic Party from Bill Clinton to Barack Obama (pdf). Major hat tip to J.P. Green at Democratic Strategist for bringing it to my attention.
The main thrust of the paper is that, with Democratic Majorities firmly established, Clinton abandoned long-term party building to have the DNC focus solely on the passage of his policy agenda. As a result of this focus on policy, not party building, Clinton and the DNC were slow to adapt to the new playing field after the 1994 Republican Revolution. What followed was a slow climb out of a deep whole - both of substantial financial debt and a severe lack of sophisticated infrastructure.
Galvin argues that as the Democrats suffered electorally, first in Congress, and then in the Executive Branch, party building - and electoral innovation generally - became the norm within the DNC and the Party, culminating with Howard Dean's 50 State Strategy and the mass movement that was the Obama campaign. The crux, though, is that it was defeat which spurred innovation, while success created inertia and stagnation:
The notion that competition drives the minority party to adapt, innovate, and rebuild is not new to political science. A long tradition of scholarship has identified the political “losers” as “the desperate ones; they are the ones whose survival is at stake; they are the ones driven by their despair to seek ways to triumph; they are, therefore, the inventors. Defeat is the mother of invention.”
In the wake of defeat, losing parties are driven to act in an innovative fashion. They develop new policy alternatives, elevate new issues of salience, and co-opt the opposition. They rebuild their structures and strategies, experiment with new techniques, and seek to develop new organizational capacities to regain their competitiveness.
[...]
New electoral conditions created new incentives for party building, but translating the actors’ new motives and purposes into durable organizational change happened only gradually, over the course of many years. Indeed, in the Democratic Party’s journey from its deep and durable majorities of the post-New Deal period to its great uncertainty in the 21st century, we can observe the emergence of the party-building impulse as well as the challenges involved in changing the course of party history.
Why do I bring this up? Not just because it's an excellent lesson in history of which we should all be aware. I bring it up because many of us in the youth community - especially those who work in partisan organizing - still see that we have a long way to go before young voters, who were so important a player this election cycle, are truly integrated into the party's infrastructure and outreach strategies. Our work is not yet done. As Obama pollster Cornell Belcher noted in his memo to Howard Dean, there was a 20% drop-off down ballot in young voter turnout. Now is not the time to dial down the 50 state strategy. Now is the time to turn it up with a focus on youth and communities of color. As Galvin notes, though, history suggests this is not likely to happen:
It is an open question, however, whether a President Obama and his fellow party leaders would perceive a need for further party building in 2009 and beyond. If the Democrats manage to bring strong majorities into Congress and make significant gains at the local level, as some are predicting – if Obama succeeds in building the “new majority” about which he speaks 76 – will the Democrats’ collective commitment to organizational development survive? As discussed, the party-building impulse is intimately related to the desire to build a new majority, and the more comfortable the party’s competitive standing, the less motivation we should expect for party building.
[...]
From what we can glean from the past, this much is clear: changing the organizational trajectory of the Democratic Party has not happened quickly or easily, and it certainly has not followed automatically from changes in the political environment. Party leaders have been motivated by the decline in the competitive standing of their party to make long-term investments in party organization, but their changes have been incremental and their gains have been cumulative. If Democrats are to heed Bradley’s advice and continue to “build a stable pyramid from the base up,” then they should plan to look past the results of the 2008 election – whatever they may be – keep up the momentum, and continue building upon the gains made over the last decade.
Across the country, at all levels of government (on average), Democrats are sitting pretty. I fear that in they eyes of many party strategists and campaign managers - particularly at the state and local level - the battle is won. Our winning coalition is forged all we must do is sit back and reap the rewards. But as the Belcher memo shows, we're not sitting pretty. We're likely leaving millions of votes on the table. The question now is this - will the DNC and state parties sit back, content with their gains? Will they give in to the inertia of WIN? Or will they stay hungry and work to adapt Obama's successes to down-ballot races?
For our part, we're going to need to recognize this inertia and find ways to combat it.
2008 Youth Vote in Context
The following charts and graphs are meant to contextualize the unique role that young voters played in the 2008 election, and their increasingly important role in a winning electoral coalition:
2008 Youth Electoral Map

2004 Youth Electoral Map

Youth Vote Partisan Advantage: 2000 - 2008

Youth Vote Historical Support: 1976 - 2008

Breaking News
Political Wire:
Romney Way Ahead in Texas, OklahomaA a href="http://www.texastribune.org/texas-politics/2012-elections/uttt-poll-runoff-prospects-loom-us-senate-races/"Texas Tribune poll/a finds Mitt Romney crushing President Obama in the Lone Star ...Political Wire:
Obama Defends Attacks on Romney's Business ExperiencePresident Obama said that attacks on Mitt Romney's experience at Bain Capital were fair game and that Romney's years heading the private equity firm were "worthy of serious debate," the a ...The Caucus:
Republican Officials End Relationship With Adviser Tied to Ad ProposalRebecca Donatelli was listed as a member of what was called Your Recommended Team of Pirates in a proposal for an ad campaign aimed at blocking President Obama's re-election.The Plum Line:
Jonathan Bernstein: Happy Hour RoundupSo the Senate did vote on Ninth Circuit nominee Paul Watford and confirmed him by a count of 61-34. That leaves just two vacancies on the Ninth Circuit. Just two? That’s two too many. And lots of ...Think Progress:
Limbaugh Sees Ratings Dip Following Attacks On Sandra FlukeThe ratings for Rush Limbaugh’s radio show have dropped significantly in key markets since he attacked Georgetown law student Sandra Fluke as a “prostitute” and a “slut” ...
Featured Video
Recent Blog Posts
-
We've seen that members of the Millennial generation tend to fall on the left side of the political spectrum, but there are of course exceptions. A good indicator that you may be one of those ...by: Kevin Bondelli | 0 comments
-
This post was originally published for the 2010 election cycle. I thought it would be valuable for campaigns in 2012 who may have missed it. INTRODUCTION TO PEER-TO-PEER Peer-to-peer campaigning is ...by: Kevin Bondelli | 0 comments
-
The College Republican National Committee, Young Republican National Federation, American Crossroads, and the Republican State Leadership Committee have launched an independent expenditure superPAC, ...by: Kevin Bondelli | 0 comments
-
Romney and the GOP have made some motions indicating they want to make a play for the youth vote, but today's block of the Democratic bill to prevent student loan interest rates from doubling is ...by: Kevin Bondelli | 0 comments
-
The Young Democrats of America have announced the dates and location of their 2012 Summer National Conference. It will be held in Philadelphia, PA at the Radisson Plaza-Warwick Hotel from June 29 to ...by: Kevin Bondelli | 0 comments
Blogroll
- Ablogistan
- Apophenia
- Bad Subjects
- Burnt Orange Report
- Campus Progress
- Campus Vote
- College Democrats
- Culture Blog
- The Daily Background
- The Daily Taylor
- Ezra Klein
- Everyday Citizen
- For Which It Stands
- Generation Next
- Got Democracy
- It’s Getting Hot in Here
- Kevin Bondelli
- Kid Oakland
- Kossacks Under 35
- Left in the West
- Liberal College Kid
- The Low Post
- Matt Ortega
- Michigan Liberal
- Michigan Youth Political Alliance
- Millennials Changing America
- Open Left
- Penn Progress
- Planting Liberally
- Policy Farm Team
- Political Teen Tidbits
- Prose Before Hos
- Pullman Progressive
- Pushback Network
- The Raw Story
- Rethinking Youth
- Rock the Vote
- Scoop 44
- Tapped
- Think Youth
- Young Democrats
- Young MO Politico
- Young People For
- Young Philly Politics
- Young-Politics
- Youth and Politics
- YouthinkLeft
- WireTap
- Wonkette
If you have a blog written by or for young progressives, and you would like to be listed, contact Mike.
Young Progressives
- 21st Century Dems
- Black Youth Vote
- The Bus Federation
- Campus Climate Challenge
- Campus Progress
- Campus Wellstone
- Center for Progressive Leadership
- College Democrats
- DNC Youth Council
- DMI Scholars
- Forward Montana
- Future 5000
- Generation Change
- Generational Alliance
- The League
- Kossacks Under 35
- Lose the Label
- Minnesota Youth Caucus
- New Era Colorado
- Oregon Bus Project
- Progressive U
- Roosevelt Institution
- Run For Office
- Students for a New American Politics
- Swing Semester
- USSA
- Washington Bus
- Young Democrats of America
- Young Elected Officials Network
- Young People For
- Young Voter PAC
Cultural Capitalizers
- All Ages Movement Project
- Billionaires for Bush
- Drinking Liberally
- Free Culture
- Head Count
- Hip Hop Summit Action Network
- Ironweed Films
- Justice Through Music
- Laughing Liberally
- Lokahi Outreach
- National Hip Hop Political Convention
- ONE Campaign
- Progressive Book Club
- Rock the Vote
- Screening Liberally
- Vera Project
- Youth Movement Records



















