Around the Tubes: 8/7/07
There were a lot of great posts over the past few days that I missed while at Kos. Here's what's been going on in the past five days in our corner of the progressive movement:
- Over at MyDD, Jerome took my job and filed the weekend youth vote report, noting a new Washington Post poll of Iowa Caucus-goers that sampled a high amount of young folks. It's the first poll I've seen of Iowa that puts Obama ahead. The question becomes - what will be Obama's strategy to get those voters to the caucus, and how do you make them effective caucus-goers? You don't just show up at a caucus, you have to politick for your candidate. Can Obama teach enough young voters how to do that to make the difference?
Also interesting in this poll is that Edwards practically tied with Hillary for the remaining youth support. Is he starting to gain ground among Millenials?
- If you can get past the starry-eyed rhetoric for his preferred candidate, Jacob Alperin-Sheriff has an interesting post on the Students for Barack Obama blog asking why Obama is the preferred candidate of young voters. I think the questions are right, though I don't know that I agree with his conclusions.
- Four Presidential Candidates will be stopping in to the Daily Show before the end of the month.
- Campus Progress reports on the Student Association for Voter Empowerment (SAVE), a new organization dedicated to removing barriers to youth participation on election day. They've got some interesting ideas about registration vs. education and ideology. Not sure I agree 100%, but they definitely deserve a closer look.
- Hillary Clinton is now promoting the idea of a Public Service Academy. She also got slapped around at Yearly Kos during a question about Lobbyists.
- Chris Bowers at Open Left had two posts about the health of the progressive movement - Blogosphere Diversity and Why the Progressive Movement has Stalled.
- Rudy Giuliani's daughter became the next Obama Girl.
- Taking a look at the other side of the aisle, the young Republicans are getting restless.
- Last but absolutely not least, this was the viral video of Yearly Kos:
2008 Youth Vote in Context
The following charts and graphs are meant to contextualize the unique role that young voters played in the 2008 election, and their increasingly important role in a winning electoral coalition:
2008 Youth Electoral Map

2004 Youth Electoral Map

Youth Vote Partisan Advantage: 2000 - 2008

Youth Vote Historical Support: 1976 - 2008

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More like young MEN for Obama...
There's not enough specific data to really prove this one way or another, but I find it implausible that young people are disproportionately supporting Obama (nor is their any data to prove that Obama is in fact more popular than Hillary). Younger women are FAR more likely to say they'll vote for Hillary, as are single women, so where exactly is this edge that Obama supposedly has? It definitely appears that Obama is getting more young people interested and involved, and in some places (like Iowa) there is data that points to this, but on the whole I just don't see how it's possible, nor do I think it is likely...
As Dean showed: the loudest support does not equal the greatest numbers...
shameless
I can't believe Lieberman would just do that in public like that... I mean ... does he have no shame???
;)