Open Thread for Iowa Caucus-Goers and Youth Organizers

Update II: CNN is calling it for Obama, and from all accounts he looks to have ridden a pretty big youth wave to victory. More soon.

Update: Permanently bumped to the top until tomorrow. New content below.

If you are a youth organizer on the ground in Iowa, or a young Iowan attending a caucus, use this open thread as a place to post comments, report on your work/caucus, and share information.

This thread will be bumped up occasionally throughout the night as it gets pushed down.

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from grinnell

Tony Cani with YDA, Amber Goodwin and Paul Tran, volunteers with Young Voter PAC are at Grinnell College...here is what they say so far and here is where you can read his live blog...

6:29pm: We are in a multi-purpose room that almost looks like a middle school gym/auditorium that is on campus. A huge portion of the young people here are students, but it would be wrong to say (at this point) that I know they are a majority. The buzz in the room is definately for Obama - but less so than it was back in the PEC where the Grinnell students are sleeping tonight.

http://www.yda.org/blog/252/live-blogging-for-real-from-the-iowa-caucuses

entrance polls

CBS is reporting:

Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are battling for the lead in the Iowa Democratic caucuses, according to entrance polls. Visit CBSNews.com for up-to-the-minute coverage.

results at 7:17pm

Clinton : 37.29%
Edwards : 36.98%
Obama : 23.79%
Richardson : 1.94%
Precincts Reporting: 8/1781
SDEs Reporting: 3.26/2500

7:25 update

Edwards : 37.04%
Clinton : 31.44%
Obama : 28.12%
Richardson : 2.21%
Dodd : 0.64%
Biden : 0.55%
Precincts Reporting: 53/1781
SDEs Reporting: 33.47/2500

From west des moines one

Its a mixed crowd, over half are under 35...most are young profs. There are 263 more people than in 2004.

Precinct 6

Coralville...750 people there, 250 more than 2004 which sets a new record. Alot of young people there caucusing for obama

IOWA CITY 05

There are 135 college caucus goers!

After 1st round...

obama 80
Hillary 11
Edwards 22
Biden 9
Richardson 8
Kucinch 2
Dodd 0
Gravel 0

CNN: Obama youth vote 5-1 over Hillary? 25% of all caucus goers?

CNN just reported that young voters are in fact showing up - perhaps 25% of all caucus-goers, which would be a higher share of the electorate than young people actually comprise (22% of the population).

That would be huge - better than expectations - and if true would probably put to rest a lot of my fears about the media disparaging youth turnout (regardless of whether or not Obama actually pulls out a win).

MSNBC: 57% of Obama support is young voters

Over at MyDD, Jonathan Singer adds to my post that MSNBC is reporting young voters as 57% of Obama's support (via entrance poll estimates).

8:00pm results

Obama : 33.20%
Edwards : 32.09%
Clinton : 31.77%
Richardson : 1.79%
Biden : 1.02%
Dodd : 0.07%
Uncommitted : 0.05%
Precincts Reporting: 630/1781
SDEs Reporting: 644.49/2500

8:15 results

Obama : 34.69%
Edwards : 31.52%
Clinton : 31.00%
Richardson : 1.69%
Biden : 1.03%
Dodd : 0.04%
Uncommitted : 0.03%
Precincts Reporting: 1057/1781
SDEs Reporting: 1225.33/2500

obama wins

The message is—you target young people, they vote. You believe in them and they will believe you.