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Super Fat Tuesday Results and Open Thread

Update: For final results and a more complete version of the chart below, go here.
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I'm getting ready to head down to The Tank for their Super Fat Tuesday party.

Use this as an open thread to discuss the results and what you are seeing in the states.

Around 9pm Eastern time I'll be heading home to start blogging the results. After that, I don't plan on going to sleep until the whole chart (below) is complete.

Warning: numbers subject to change as CNN updates their polling data.

Update: As of midnight, the first draft of this chart is online. I'll now go back and start updating as CNN updates their exit polls.

Update: The chart is now current as of 1am.

Update: CNN hasn't updated their polling in the last hour, and none of the state parties aside from Alabama have posted vote totals, so I think this has gone as far as I can take it tonight.

A few thoughts - Most important, in every state for which I have comparative data, the youth turnout as a share of the electorate increased by anywhere from 1 - 7 percent. That is HUGE.

Second, Obama, for the most part, maintained his lead over Clinton among young voters. The exception was in states that Clinton dominated. Also interesting - no state with EDR had exit or entrance polling, so those comparisons I wanted to do are moot for now.

I'll be back on early tomorrow, updating the data, and hopefully finding out more data. I don't know when CIRCLE is planning on releasing their numbers, but as soon as they do, I'll post about it.

I'm beat. 'Till tomorrow.

State '04 SoE

'08 SoE SoE Change % C % O Turnout Turnout Rate EDR
Alabama N/A 13% N/A 32% 64% 135,597 19% N
Alaska N/A Y
Arizona 7% 8% +1% 33% 63% N
Arkansas N/A 9% N/A 61% 37% N
California 11% 16% +5% 47% 52% N
Colorado N/A N
Connecticut 5% 10% +5% 39% 58% 51,436 12% N
Deleware 9% 10% +1% 28% 66% N
Georgia 11% 17% +6% 23% 75% 281,724 21% N
Idaho N/A Y
Illinois N/A 15% N/A 29% 69% 377,996 18% N
Kansas N/A N
Massachusetts 9% 14% +5% 49% 48% 231,022 25% N
Minnesota N/A Y
Missouri 9% 14% +5% 30% 65% 190,863 21% N
New Jersey N/A 13% N/A 39% 59% 187,889 18% N
New Mexico N/A 8% N/A 34% 49% N
New York 8% 15% +7% 43% 56% 311,833 12% N
North Dakota N/A Y
Oklahoma 6% 9% +3% N/A> N/A 82,609 14% N
Tennessee 7% 13% +6% 44% 53% 139,831 15% N
Utah N/A 17% N/a> 29% 69% 66,248 15% N
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February 5th, 2008 6:59pm
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asdf

Submitted by Jake Thorn on Tue, 2008-02-05 19:49.

man, you're gonna be up for awhile then... California will take forever, what with 3 million absentee ballots to count.

I voted at my precinct (San Diego suburbs), there were plenty of people but short lines. lots of buzz here, just like everywhere else I guess. I voted Obama, pretty much everybody I know supports Obama, but I bet Clinton takes it. too many absentee voters here for the late surge to matter that much.

Young Dems, media, youth vote

Submitted by AlexandraAcker on Tue, 2008-02-05 21:40.

The Young Democrats also have an open thread tonight -- www.yda.org/blog -- where many of our state staff and national officers will be reporting what they're hearing, seeing, and doing on the ground. Tony Cani and I will try to cross-post interesting tidbits as much as possible.

Thus far, in flipping back and forth between CNN and MSNBC, I'm very happy ro see that the media is reporting the youth vote well. The noted general trends as well as specific GA numbers from today.

Mike you're a GD hero

Submitted by Fred Gooltz on Wed, 2008-02-06 01:22.

and yes, you'll be awake for days.

COME ON ALAN KEYES!!!!!