Wisconsin Primary: Young Voters Choose Democrats 4 - 1
The final results from the Wisconsin primary are in, and CIRCLE is done crunching the data. Once again the story is the same - youth turnout in the Democratic Primary almost doubled, increasing from 91,120 in 2004 to 175,841 in yesterday's contest. Young voters were 16 percent of the Democratic electorate, up from 11 percent in 2004. The overall turnout rate for young voters (Republican and Democrats) was 25 percent, 11 points lower than the overall turnout rate of 36 percent.
Yet again, young voters chose Sen. Barack Obama by wide margins. 70 percent of young voters chose Sen. Obama over 26 percent who voted for Clinton. Obama performed slightly better among 18 - 24 year olds than he did the older cohort, but the differences were modest at best.
The big story continues to be the massive turnout in favor of Democrats. The graph we produced here after Super Tuesday, already out of date after last week's Potomac Primaries, is even more off now, but still quite illustrative of just how large an advantage young voters will be for the Democrats this cycle.
As I describe in my book, Youth to Power, Senator Obama didn't create this youth movement. It began back in 2003 and showed its strength in 2004 when the youth vote increased substantially for the first time in over a decade. We saw it again in 2006 when a wave of youth participation voted 60 - 38 percent in favor of Democrats and helped drive Sen. Jon Tester, Sen. Jim Webb, and Rep. Joe Courtney into office.
What's happening now is that Senator Obama is tapping into - and amplifying - that movement through a combination of message and - most importantly - substantial investment into reaching out and engaging young voters. The Democratic Party and candidates up and down the ticket would do well to learn some lessons from the Obama campaign. They too can benefit from the increased progressivism and participation of young voters if they reach out, speak to our issues, and put real resources into organizing young voters in their districts.
2008 Youth Vote in Context
The following charts and graphs are meant to contextualize the unique role that young voters played in the 2008 election, and their increasingly important role in a winning electoral coalition:
2008 Youth Electoral Map

2004 Youth Electoral Map

Youth Vote Partisan Advantage: 2000 - 2008

Youth Vote Historical Support: 1976 - 2008

Breaking News
Political Wire:
Wisconsin Poll Shows Tight Recall RaceA new a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/wisconsin-democrats-say-polling-shows-a-dead-heat/2012/05/22/gIQAWKediU_blog.html"Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll/a in Wisconsin shows ...Think Progress:
Romney Aide Calls Ad Starring Workers Fired By Romney ‘Performance Art Gibberish’Romney Aide Stuart Stevens (Left)President Obama’s campaign and the Democratically-aligned SuperPAC Priorities USA have begun airing separate ads featuring former employees who were laid off ...Think Progress:
FBI Probing Questionable Donations To Two Ohio RepublicansRep. Jim Renacci (R-OH)The Federal Bureau of Investigations is looking into a series of contributions by employees of the Canton, Ohio-based Suarez Corporation to Ohio Treasurer Josh Mandel (R) and ...The Plum Line:
Jonathan Bernstein: The primaries that matter todayBarack Obama might embarrass himself tonight. Well, not embarrass himself as much as be embarrassed by the Arkansas presidential primary results. See, the president isn’t very popular in that state ...Think Progress:
‘Young Black Thugs’ Need To Be ‘Put Down Like The Dogs They Are,’ Says Louisiana School PsychologistMark Traina, a school psychologist in Louisiana, has been using his twitter account to spew racially-charged accusations about “young black thugs,” and now the Southern Poverty Law Center ...
Featured Video
Recent Blog Posts
-
We've seen that members of the Millennial generation tend to fall on the left side of the political spectrum, but there are of course exceptions. A good indicator that you may be one of those ...by: Kevin Bondelli | 0 comments
-
This post was originally published for the 2010 election cycle. I thought it would be valuable for campaigns in 2012 who may have missed it. INTRODUCTION TO PEER-TO-PEER Peer-to-peer campaigning is ...by: Kevin Bondelli | 0 comments
-
The College Republican National Committee, Young Republican National Federation, American Crossroads, and the Republican State Leadership Committee have launched an independent expenditure superPAC, ...by: Kevin Bondelli | 0 comments
-
Romney and the GOP have made some motions indicating they want to make a play for the youth vote, but today's block of the Democratic bill to prevent student loan interest rates from doubling is ...by: Kevin Bondelli | 0 comments
-
The Young Democrats of America have announced the dates and location of their 2012 Summer National Conference. It will be held in Philadelphia, PA at the Radisson Plaza-Warwick Hotel from June 29 to ...by: Kevin Bondelli | 0 comments
Blogroll
- Ablogistan
- Apophenia
- Bad Subjects
- Burnt Orange Report
- Campus Progress
- Campus Vote
- College Democrats
- Culture Blog
- The Daily Background
- The Daily Taylor
- Ezra Klein
- Everyday Citizen
- For Which It Stands
- Generation Next
- Got Democracy
- It’s Getting Hot in Here
- Kevin Bondelli
- Kid Oakland
- Kossacks Under 35
- Left in the West
- Liberal College Kid
- The Low Post
- Matt Ortega
- Michigan Liberal
- Michigan Youth Political Alliance
- Millennials Changing America
- Open Left
- Penn Progress
- Planting Liberally
- Policy Farm Team
- Political Teen Tidbits
- Prose Before Hos
- Pullman Progressive
- Pushback Network
- The Raw Story
- Rethinking Youth
- Rock the Vote
- Scoop 44
- Tapped
- Think Youth
- Young Democrats
- Young MO Politico
- Young People For
- Young Philly Politics
- Young-Politics
- Youth and Politics
- YouthinkLeft
- WireTap
- Wonkette
If you have a blog written by or for young progressives, and you would like to be listed, contact Mike.
Young Progressives
- 21st Century Dems
- Black Youth Vote
- The Bus Federation
- Campus Climate Challenge
- Campus Progress
- Campus Wellstone
- Center for Progressive Leadership
- College Democrats
- DNC Youth Council
- DMI Scholars
- Forward Montana
- Future 5000
- Generation Change
- Generational Alliance
- The League
- Kossacks Under 35
- Lose the Label
- Minnesota Youth Caucus
- New Era Colorado
- Oregon Bus Project
- Progressive U
- Roosevelt Institution
- Run For Office
- Students for a New American Politics
- Swing Semester
- USSA
- Washington Bus
- Young Democrats of America
- Young Elected Officials Network
- Young People For
- Young Voter PAC
Cultural Capitalizers
- All Ages Movement Project
- Billionaires for Bush
- Drinking Liberally
- Free Culture
- Head Count
- Hip Hop Summit Action Network
- Ironweed Films
- Justice Through Music
- Laughing Liberally
- Lokahi Outreach
- National Hip Hop Political Convention
- ONE Campaign
- Progressive Book Club
- Rock the Vote
- Screening Liberally
- Vera Project
- Youth Movement Records




















