Wisconsin

Voter Registration Drive Fuels Voter Suppression Attempts in Wisconsin

Bumped. -Craig

Cross-posted at Project Vote's blog Voting Matters

By Nathan Henderson-James

Just yesterday we noted the right way to report on charges of voter fraud and the wrong way to go about it. We explained how the news media had been gamed by people with a partisan interest in the outcome of elections to gin up hysteria to engage in voter intimidation and voter disenfranchisement efforts.

Well, the partisans are back at it in Wisconsin, but this time the press is following the lead of Virginia journalists and scrutinizing the claims rather than simply reprinting the press release.

Here’s the backstory. The community organization ACORN has recently completed a voter registration drive in Milwaukee aimed at historically disenfranchised populations like low-income folks and African-Americans. The drive assisted voters complete some 35,000 cards. So far so good.

However, some of ACORN’s canvassers were caught forging cards in order to get paid for not doing the work. Under Wisconsin law all cards filled out, completely or incompletely, fraudulently or not, are required to be turned in. Out of the 35,000 cards, ACORN and Board of Elections officials estimate that about 1500-2000 of them had problems. The bulk of those were simple incompletes, but about 200 or so were clearly attempts by canvassers to defraud both ACORN and the state of Wisconsin by submitting false cards.

The traditional media has actually done a fairly good job reporting the story, going into great detail on how the cards were caught, the quality control procedures used by ACORN, and the context of the numbers involved versus the total number of cards submitted. This reportage has been ably supplemented by bloggers like Cory Liebmann at One Wisconsin Now and Capper at Cognitive Dissonance.

But, of course, this situation has served as an opportunity for conservative partisans to immediately pick up their calls for voter disenfranchisement policies such as voter ID. Such a policy would ironically, or perhaps not so ironically, actually push down the voter participation rates among those folks who most rely on voter registration drives to bring them into the civic participation process.

Here’s choice quote from Pete DiGaudio who writes as The Texas Hold ‘Em Blogger,

Well, yes, I actually do support voter suppression. I am in favor of suppressing the vote of dead people, nonexistent people, convicted felons, illegal aliens, people voting more than once, et al. Every time one of these people votes, it cancels out my legitimate vote.

A simple thing like photo ID for voting would eliminate these fraudulent voters when they showed up at the polls.”

Project Vote’s report The Politics of Voter Fraud (PDF) has consistently pointed out that there simply isn’t widespread voter fraud in the United States and any fraudulent voting has never been tied to voter registration fraud, which is what has partisans so breathless and hyperbolic.

But the rush to point to a solution like voter ID seems not to be bothered by facts. Like the fact that the so-called fraud every partisan points to is always centered on voter registration cards. Well, voter ID isn’t going to stop canvassers from wanting to get paid for not doing the work and it isn’t going to stop states like Wisconsin from requiring that every card be turned in regardless of its accuracy, completeness, or legitimacy and it’s definitely not going to help elections officials catch bad cards.

The truth is that the laws as written and enforced catch such problems. The mere fact of this story in the media means the system in Milwaukee works the way it is supposed to, catching problem cards. Voter ID, on the other hand stops something called “voter impersonation”, which just doesn’t happen in the Untied States. Of the 24 convictions won by the US Department of Justice between 2002 and 2005 for voter fraud, most of them were for problems with submitting false or illegal absentee ballots. Voter ID laws do nothing to fix this problem. But what they are great at is stopping otherwise eligible voters from casting ballots.

And that’s how it works – raise loud cries of outrage over an illegal act that was caught using the safeguards that were put in place for just that situation, raise questions about the integrity of the entire elections system, and offer a solution that would not stop the identified problem and would, in fact, stop significant numbers of specific groups, generally groups who are already the most disenfranchised, from participating in elections.

Upcoming DNC Youth Council Delegate Trainings: Georgia, Utah, Wisconsin

The DNC Youth Council is getting ready to hold three more trainings on how to become delegates to the Democratic National Convention in August:

Last week, we held our first conference call training on the process to be a delegate from New Mexico. The training was extremely successful and we are eager to get underway with our next round of calls.

Below one will find a listing of some of our upcoming calls. Please spread the word to as many people as possible about these. On each call we will be joined by a member of that respective state's party to go over the process to be a Congressional District, PLEO, or At-Large delegate to the Democratic National Convention. In addition to the specific training, we will be sure to provide information on how to get more involved with the State Party and other youth organizations.

The upcoming calls are:
Georgia - March 31st at 5pm EST
Phone: 866-810-8093
Code: 678-893-3989

Utah - April 1st at 6pm EST
Phone: 866-810-8093
Code: 822-976-6817

Wisconsin - April 2nd at 7pm EST
Phone: 866-810-8093
Code: 822-976-6817

Wisconsin Primary: Young Voters Choose Democrats 4 - 1

The final results from the Wisconsin primary are in, and CIRCLE is done crunching the data. Once again the story is the same - youth turnout in the Democratic Primary almost doubled, increasing from 91,120 in 2004 to 175,841 in yesterday's contest. Young voters were 16 percent of the Democratic electorate, up from 11 percent in 2004. The overall turnout rate for young voters (Republican and Democrats) was 25 percent, 11 points lower than the overall turnout rate of 36 percent.

Yet again, young voters chose Sen. Barack Obama by wide margins. 70 percent of young voters chose Sen. Obama over 26 percent who voted for Clinton. Obama performed slightly better among 18 - 24 year olds than he did the older cohort, but the differences were modest at best.

The big story continues to be the massive turnout in favor of Democrats. The graph we produced here after Super Tuesday, already out of date after last week's Potomac Primaries, is even more off now, but still quite illustrative of just how large an advantage young voters will be for the Democrats this cycle.

youth_chart-0802071727

As I describe in my book, Youth to Power, Senator Obama didn't create this youth movement. It began back in 2003 and showed its strength in 2004 when the youth vote increased substantially for the first time in over a decade. We saw it again in 2006 when a wave of youth participation voted 60 - 38 percent in favor of Democrats and helped drive Sen. Jon Tester, Sen. Jim Webb, and Rep. Joe Courtney into office.

What's happening now is that Senator Obama is tapping into - and amplifying - that movement through a combination of message and - most importantly - substantial investment into reaching out and engaging young voters. The Democratic Party and candidates up and down the ticket would do well to learn some lessons from the Obama campaign. They too can benefit from the increased progressivism and participation of young voters if they reach out, speak to our issues, and put real resources into organizing young voters in their districts.

Primary Day in Wisconsin (Updated)

Bumped - Looks like Obama took both Wisconsin and Hawaii, as expected. According to CNN exit polling, youth share of the electorate in Wisconsin increased to 16%, and early exit polling data shows Obama dominating Clinton 3 - 1 among 18 - 29 year olds. We'll see how that adjusts in the next few hours. There are no exit polls for Hawaii at this time (time difference, maybe?). I'll have a more full analysis tomorrow after CIRCLE crunches the data on youth turnout.
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Both Hawaii and Wisconsin cast their ballots for the Democratic nominee today. There's no prior data for young voters in Hawaii, but here's a preview of Wisconsin. As usual, most of this data is courtesy of CIRCLE.

Youth Population: 895,478
Youth Share of Electorate: 22%
Youth Share in 2004: 11%
White non-Hispanic: 84%
Other Race/Ethnicity: 16%
College Students: 22%

Obama is the favorite in Wisconsin, though the polls have been tight in these final weeks. I heard on the news this morning that there was recently a rally for him at the University of Wisconsin, Madison attended by over 20,000 people. Wisconsin also has something of a history for youth activism, the race is increasingly tight, what with the media storyline describing this as a dog fight for every last delegate. And the campaigns have gotten nasty with dueling negative ads in the state. In other words, it's a highly competitive environment. I'll be watching to see just how high youth turnout is, and whether or not it approaches young voter's potential share of the electorate.

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